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We think this game will look similar to the Week 12 game from last season, with the biggest variable being CJ Stroud's performance. If he plays well, HOU will score and the total could easily go over, but if he struggles again, expect a close game.
Niners' questionable pass rush + weak secondary + return of Fred Warner means Rams will likely pass more. PICK: Matthew Stafford Over 265.5 pass yds — Bet size: 1 unit
The NFL betting market is the most efficient betting market in the world - i.e. the closing lines are usually right or close to right. And even the best predictive models in the world rarely beat ~55% ATS over large samples.
Given that it’s week 1, a grudge rematch for NE, and there are questions on both offenses, we think the defenses will dominate and decide the game. We’re predicting a total score in the high 30s, so there’s margin for error here. PICK: Under 44.5 — Bet size: 5 units